[1] DOSI G. Technological paradigms and technological trajectories[J]. Research policy, 1982, 11(3):147-162. [2] 李欣, 王静静, 杨梓, 等. 基于SAO结构语义分析的新兴技术识别研究[J]. 情报杂志, 2016, 35(3):80-84. [3] 陈亮. 基于关联规则改进的技术演化分析方法研究[D]. 北京:中国科学院大学, 2013. [4] CHOI S, YOON J, KIM K, et al. SAO network analysis of patents for technology trends identification:a case study of polymer electrolyte membrane technology in proton exchange membrane fuel cells[J]. Scientometrics, 2011, 88(3):863-883. [5] ENA O, MIKOVA N, SARITAS O, et al. A methodology for technology trend monitoring:the case of semantic technologies[J]. Scientometrics, 2016, 108(3):1013-1041. [6] DAIM T U, RUEDA G, MARTIN H, et al. Forecasting emerging technologies:use of bibliometrics and patent analysis[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2006, 73(8):981-1012. [7] 陈亮, 杨冠灿, 张静, 等. 面向技术演化分析的多主路径方法研究[J]. 图书情报工作, 2015, 59(10):124-130,115. [8] BHARGAVA S C, KUMAR A, MUKHERJEE A. A stochastic cellular automata model of innovation diffusion[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 1993, 44(1):87-97. [9] YOON B, PARK Y. A systematic approach for identifying technology opportunities:keyword-based morphology analysis[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2005, 72(2):145-160. [10] 王山, 谭宗颖. 技术生命周期判断方法研究综述[J]. 现代情报, 2020, 40(11):144-153. [11] GARFIELD E. Citation indexes for science:a new dimension in documentation through association of ideas[J]. Science, 1955, 122(3159):108-111. [12] HUMMON N P, DOREIAN P. Connectivity in a citation network:the development of DNA theory[J]. Social networks, 1989, 11(1):39-63. [13] VERSPAGEN B. Mapping technological trajectories as patent citation networks:a study on the history of fuel cell research[J]. Advances in complex systems, 2007, 10(1):93-115. [14] LIU J S, LU L. An integrated approach for main path analysis:development of the hirsch index as an example[J]. Journal of the American Society for Information Science & Technology, 2014, 63(3):528-542. [15] BATAGELJ V, KEJŽAR N, KORENJAK-ERNE S, et al. Analyzing the structure of U.S. patents network[C]//BATAGELJ V, BOCK H-H, FERLIGOJ A, et al. Data science and classification. Berlin:Springer, 2006:141-148. [16] SU H-N, LEE P-C. Dynamic and quantitative exploration on technology evolution mechanism:the case of electrical conducting polymer nanocomposite[C]//Portland international center for management of engineering and technology proceedings.Portland:PICMET,2009:2433-2440. [17] YOON B, PARK Y. A text-mining-based patent network:analytical tool for high-technology trend[J]. The journal of high technology management research, 2004, 15(1):37-50. [18] KIM Y G, SUH J H, PARK S C. Visualization of patent analysis for emerging technology[J]. Expert systems with applications, 2008, 34(3):1804-1812. [19] 方曙, 胡正银, 庞弘燊, 等. 基于专利文献的技术演化分析方法研究[J]. 图书情报工作, 2011, 55(22):42-46. [20] CHENG Y, HUANG L, RAMLOGAN R, et al. Forecasting of potential impacts of disruptive technology in promising technological areas:elaborating the SIRS epidemic model in RFID technology[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2017, 117:170-183. [21] 黄鲁成, 蒋林杉, 吴菲菲. 萌芽期颠覆性技术识别研究[J]. 科技进步与对策, 2019, 36(1):10-17. [22] WILLIAMS R, EDGE D. The social shaping of technology[J]. Research policy, 2004, 25(1):865-899. [23] 黄鲁成, 王静静, 李欣, 等. 基于论文和专利的钙钛矿太阳能电池的技术机会分析[J]. 情报学报, 2016, 35(7):686-695. [24] 周潇, 黄璐, 马婷婷. 大数据视角下的技术创新路径识别研究[J]. 科研管理, 2017, 38(10):1-9. [25] National Library of Medicine-National Institutes of Health[EB/OL].[2021-10-13]. https://www.nlm.nih.gov/. [26] 胡正银. 基于个性化语义TRIZ的专利技术挖掘研究[D]. 北京:中国科学院大学, 2015. [27] FOSTER R N. Working the S-Curve:assessing technological threats[J]. Research management, 1986, 29(4):17-20. [28] YOON J, PARK H, KIM K. Identifying technological competition trends for R&D planning using dynamic patent maps:SAO-based content analysis[J]. Scientometrics, 2013, 94(1):313-331. [29] YANG C, HUANG C, SU J. An improved SAO network-based method for technology trend analysis:a case study of graphene[J]. Journal of informetrics, 2018, 12(1):271-286. [30] BRIN S, PAGE L. The anatomy of a large-scale hypertextual web search engine[J]. Computer networks and ISDN systems, 1998, 30(1/7):107-117. [31] ARASU A, CHO J, GARCIA-MOLINA H, et al. Searching the web[J]. ACM transactions on internet technology, 2001, 1(1):2-43. [32] FREEMAN L C. Centrality in social networks conceptual clarification[J]. Social networks, 1978, 1(3):215-239. [33] SMOJVER V, ŠTORGA M, POTOKI E. Determining the life cycle phase of a technology based on patent data[J]. Tehnicki vjesnik, 2019, 26(1):222-229. [34] XU H Y, WINNINK J, YUE Z H, et al. Topic-linked innovation paths in science and technology[EB/OL].[2022-01-07]. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S175115771930210X. [35] SALTON G, WONG A, YANG C S. A vector space model for automatic indexing[J]. Communications of the ACM, 1975, 18(11):613-620. [36] AHLERS C B, FISZMAN M, DEMNER-FUSHMAN D, et al. Extracting semantic predications from medline citations for pharmacogenomics[J]. Pacific symposium on biocomputing, 2007, 12:209-220. |