收稿日期: 2015-02-03
修回日期: 2015-03-17
网络出版日期: 2015-04-05
基金资助
本文系中国科学院文献情报系统战略扫描项目研究成果之一.
Development and Trends of Quantitative Research Methods on International Authoritative Think-tanks
Received date: 2015-02-03
Revised date: 2015-03-17
Online published: 2015-04-05
[目的/意义]智库通过高水平、高质量研究和咨询活动影响政府决策活动,创新的定量研究方法能够为智库研究提供可靠的依据,增强其研究的权威性和可信度.探索国际权威智库研究活动中所使用的定量研究方法的特点及发展趋势,能够为我国智库运用定量研究方法提供参考.[方法/过程]对部分国际智库在近年来的研究报告中所使用的定量研究方法进行调研,对方法的特点和发展趋势进行总结.在此基础上,从策略和实践层面提出我国智库运用定量研究方法进行研究的建议.[结果/结论]研究发现国际权威智库在方法运用中的特点表现为:全领域的研究视角,多学科综合性研究方法,自动化智能化研究工具以及全链条的研究过程.
张军 , 周磊 , 慕慧鸽 . 国际权威智库定量研究方法进展与趋势[J]. 图书情报工作, 2015 , 59(7) : 132 -139,146 . DOI: 10.13266/j.issn.0252-3116.2015.07.018
[Purpose/significance] Think-tanks influence government decision-making through high level and high quality research and consulting activities. Innovative quantitative methodology can provide reliable basis for think-tank’s research and enhance authority and credibility. Exploring the characteristics and trends of quantitative research methods used by international authoritative think-tanks, can provide some reference for Chinese think-tanks. [Method/process] By investigating quantitative research methods used in selected Think-tanks’ research reports in recent years, the authors summarized these methods’ characteristics and trends, then proposed some suggestions to Chinese think-tanks in strategic and practice aspect.[Result/conclusion] The results shows that modern think-thank emphasis comprehensive field view, interdisciplinary research, automated and intelligent tools and full chain procedure.
[1] 改革杂志社专题研究部.智库的起源、历程及趋势[J].重庆社会科学,2012(10):102-109.
[2] 赵蕾霞,钟永恒,史海健.国际权威智库中定量分析工具的应用及特点研究[J].情报杂志,2014,33(5):83-87.
[3] 汤珊红,秦 利,王朝飞,等.兰德做法对发展为一流智库的启示[J].情报理论与实践,2014,37(9):30-34.
[4] Think Tanks and Civil Societies Program.2012 global go to think tank index & abridged report[R].Philadelphia:University of Pennsylvania, 2013.
[5] National Institute of Science and Technology Policy. Science and technology foresight[EB/OL].[2014-11-15].http://www.nistep.go.jp/en/?page_id=56#target01.
[6] De Prato G, Nepelski D. A framework for assessing innovation collaboration partners and its application to BRICs[J]. International Journal of Technology Management, 2013, 62(2): 102-127.
[7] Epelski D, De Prato G. Does the patent cooperation treaty work?: A global analysis of patent applications by non-residents[M]. Luxembourg:Publications Office, 2013.
[8] De Prato G, Nepelski D. International technology transfer between China and the rest of the world[M]. Luxemburg:Publications Office, 2013.
[9] Motohashi K. Innovation and entrepreneurship: A first look at linkage data of Japanese patent and enterprise census[EB/OL].[2014-11-15]. http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publication s/summary/11020005.html.
[10] Tsukada N, Nagaoka S. Standards as a knowledge source for R&D: A first look at their incidence and impacts based on the inventor survey and patent bibliographic data[EB/OL].[2014-11-20]. http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/publications/summary/11030026.html.
[11] The World Bank. World development indicators[EB/OL].[2014-11-20]. http://data.worldbank.org/data-catalog/world-development-indicators/
[12] McKinsey & Company.Economic and financial indicators[EB/OL].[2014-12-20]. http://www.mckinsey.com/tools/Wrappers/Wrapper.aspx?sid={6F4D364A-F1A4-40EF-A16D-FA1011F8EAD0}&pid={A4085ED7-595A-4E34-B719-1FF64EE7F318}
[13] Prasad E,Foda K.Tiger: Tracking indexes for the global economic recovery[EB/OL].[2014-12-20].http://www.brookings.edu/research/reports/2012/10/tiger-prasad.
[14] National Institute of Science and Technology Policy. Science and technology indicators[EB/OL].[2014-12-13]. http://www.nistep.go.jp/en/?page_id=52#target01.
[15] Groba F. Determinants of trade with solar energy technology components:Evidence on the porter hypothesis?[J]. Applied Economics, 2014, 46(5): 503-526.
[16] Jenner S, Groba F, Indvik J. Assessing the strength and effectiveness of renewable electricity feed-in tariffs in European Union countries[J]. Energy Policy, 2013, 52(c): 385-401.
[17] Blazejczak J,Braun F G,Edler D,et al.Economic effects of renewable energy expansion: A model-based analysis for germany[EB/OL].[2014-12-13]. http://www.diw.de/sixcms/detail.php?id=diw_01.c.385051.de.
[18] Malhotra R,Chase J,Ordowich C, et al. Applying learning curves to modeling future coal and gas power generation technologies[J/OL].Energy & Fuels,2012,26(1):753-766.[2014-12-18]. http://www.sri.com/work/publications/applying-learning-curves-modeling-energy-tech.
[19] Capros P, Van Regemorter D, Paroussos L,et al. GEM-E3 model documentation[EB/OL].[2014-12-18].https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/publication/eur-scientific-and-technical-research-reports/gem-e3-model-documentation?search.
[20] Gay S,Tonini A,Burrell A,et al.Impacts of the EU biofuel target on agricultural markets and Land use-A comparative modelling assessment[EB/OL].[2014-12-18]. https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/publication/impacts-eu-biofuel-target-agricultural-markets-and-land-use-comparative-modelling?search.
[21] Langrell S, Ciaian P, Heckelei T,et al. Farm level modelling of CAP: A methodological review[EB/OL].[2014-12-20].https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/publication/eur-scientific-and-technical-research-reports/farm-level-modelling-cap-methodological-review?search.
[22] Gartner. Market share[EB/OL].[2014-12-24].http://www.gartner.com/technology/research/.methodologies/research_mshare.jsp.
[23] The Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry. The Japan Industrial Productivity Database[EB/OL].[2014-12-25].http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/database/JIP2013/index.html.
[24] Joint Research Centre. DataM-Data on Agriculture Trade and Models[EB/OL]. [2014-12-24].https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/scientific-tool/datam-data-agriculture-trade-and-models?search.
[25] Davis P K,Dreyer P. Rand's Portfolio Analysis Tool (PAT): Theory, methods, and reference manual[EB/OL]. [2014-12-26]. http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR756.html.
[26] Mckinsey.Periscope[EB/OL].[2014-12-26].http://solutions.mckinsey.com/periscope.
[27] Mckinsey.Clickfox[EB/OL].[2015-01-23].http://solutions.mckinsey.com/index/IE8/solutions/clickfox.html.
[28] Mckinsey.Finalta[EB/OL].[2015-01-23].http://www.finalta.eu/home/home.asp.
[29] Mckinsey.spotlight[EB/OL].[2015-01-25].http://solu-tions.mckinsey.com/index/IE8/solutions/spotlight.html.
/
〈 | 〉 |