[目的/意义]通过对潜在“睡美人”论文的引用分布分析,提炼其特征,以期为“睡美人”论文的预判研究提供思路。[方法/过程]采用引用曲线这一更为直观的反映论文引用分布的方法,以“天文学和天体物理”这一领域为例,构建其10的高被引论文、“睡美人”论文的10-20年被引用数据并进行引文分布的对比分析。[结果/结论]研究发现两类文献的引用曲线模式及特点——高被引论文的持续增长型、显峰型、双峰型、振荡型,“睡美人”论文的持续增长型、显峰型、双峰型、振荡型、稳定型等被引用曲线模式;针对施引文献、研究主题演化方向探讨了各模式引用曲线形成的相关因素,发现两类文献达到引用高峰的时间存在差异。
This paper identifies the key citation characteristics of potential articles of “sleeping beauties”, in order to provide a useful reference for the study of predicting “sleeping beauties” articles.Citation curve analytical method can more directly reflect the citation distribution of papers.By introducing this method, this paper constructs citation data over a 10-20 years period of highly-cited articles and “sleeping beauties” articles in the field of “Astronomy and Astrophysics”, and makes a comparative analysis on citation distribution.The results find the citation curve modes of these two kinds of articles and their characteristics.Citation curve for Highly-cited Articles could be attributed to a few types of sustained growth, single obvious peak, double-peaks and oscillation.Citation curve for sleeping beauties could be attributed to a few types of sustained growth, single obvious peak, double-peaks, oscillation and stabilization growth.For each type of citation curve, it analyzes the related factors for formulating specific citation curve of citing papers and the evolution of research topics.It shows that the Time Difference exists in the peak of citation for these two kinds of articles.
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