[目的/意义] 需求导向既是科技战略情报研究的宗旨,也是科技发展战略规划的指导原则,在我国脑计划正式启动之际,分析预见脑科学未来发展需求,为我国脑科学发展规划提供战略情报服务。[方法/过程] 收集全球已发布的204份脑科学相关发展战略规划报告,构建基于战略规划文本挖掘的需求预见方案,利用深度学习算法实现战略规划报告全文的需求信息挖掘,从战略规划视角分析预见脑科学未来发展需求,并对比分析主要发达国家/组织在该领域采取的战略措施。[结果/结论] 研究构建脑科学战略信息库,基于该信息库从需求主体、战略需求、行动需求3个方面分析预见脑科学未来不同时期的发展需求,为我国脑科学长期发展及其战略规划提供参考建议。
[Purpose/Significance] Demand orientation is both the purpose of science and technology strategic intelligence research and the guiding principle of strategic planning for science and technology development. On the occasion of the official launch of China Brain Project, foreseeing the future demands of brain science development can provide strategic intelligence for the development planning of brain science in China. [Method/Process] Integrating 204 strategic planning reports published in the field of brain science worldwide, a scheme for demands foreseeing was constructed based on text mining of strategic planning, using deep learning algorithms to mine demand information in the full text of those reports. Then the future development demands of brain science were analyzed and foreseen from the perspective of strategic planning, and the strategic actions tooken by major developed countries/organizations in this field were analyzed and compared. [Result/Conclusion] The empirical study constructs a strategic information database of global brain science, based on which future demands of brain science development in different periods are predicted from three aspects: subjects of demand, strategic needs, and actions needed. This paper provides some suggestions for the long-term development and strategic planning of brain science.
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