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Problem Analysis in Delphi Study: Based on 38 Journals Included by CSSCI (2014-2015)
Received date: 2016-05-19
Revised date: 2016-07-11
Online published: 2016-08-20
[Purpose/significance] This paper analyzes the problems in Delphi method applications in order to improve the efficiency of the results of Delphi study.[Method/process] An empirical study is conducted on 100 articles about Delphi method of 38 CSSCI journals (2014-2015), Seven problems in Delphi application is analyzed, including lack of rigorous experts selection criteria, predefining the questionnaire, pseudo-consensus lead by dropout of experts, unidentified causes of stopping collecting opinions, neglecting the disagreements, equating Delphi method with questionnaire method, and lack of justification in the reference of Delphi research findings.[Result/conclusion] Delphi application is less rigorous and lack of standardization. It should follow the procedure and principle of Delphi method and pay attention to every step of the procedure, to improve the reliability of the research results.
Zeng Zhaoyun , Cheng Xiaokang . Problem Analysis in Delphi Study: Based on 38 Journals Included by CSSCI (2014-2015)[J]. Library and Information Service, 2016 , 60(16) : 116 -120 . DOI: 10.13266/j.issn.0252-3116.2016.16.014
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