[1] 乔治·戴, 保罗·休梅克,石莹. 沃顿论新兴技术管理[M]. 北京:华夏出版社, 2002.
[2] 鲁若愚, 张红琪. 基于快变市场的新兴技术产品更新策略[J]. 管理学报, 2005(3):67-70.
[3] 李仕明, 肖磊, 萧延高. 新兴技术管理研究综述[J]. 管理科学学报, 2007, 10(6):12.
[4] 徐建国, 李孟军, 游翰霖. 新兴技术识别研究进展[J]. 情报杂志, 2018, 37(12):11-16.
[5] COZZENS S, GATCHAIR S, KANG J, et al. Emerging technologies:quantitative identification and measurement[J]. Technology analysis & strategic management, 2010, 22(3):361-376.
[6] BREITZMAN A, THOMAS P. The Emerging Clusters Model:a tool for identifying emerging technologies across multiple patent systems[J]. Research policy, 2015, 44(1):195-205.
[7] 程跃, 银路. 基于企业动态能力的新兴技术演化模型及案例研究[J]. 管理学报, 2010, 7(1):43-49.
[8] ROTOLO D, HICKS D, MARTIN B R. What is an emerging technology?[J]. Research policy, 2015, 44(10):1827-1843.
[9] CHRISTENSEN C M. The innovator's dilemma[M]. Boston:Harvard Business Review Press,1997.
[10] 胡阿沛, 张静, 雷孝平, 等. 基于文本挖掘的专利技术主题分析研究综述[J]. 情报杂志, 2013, 32(12):88-92.
[11] ALLAN J, CARBONELL J G, DODDINGTON G, et al. Topic detection and tracking pilot study final report[R]. Virginia:Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, 2000.
[12] United States Congress. America COMPETES Act[EB/OL].[2019-09-13]. https://www.congress.gov/111/plaws/publ358/PLAW-111publ358.pdf.
[13] Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity. Foresight and Understanding from Scientific Exposition (FUSE)[EB/OL].[2019-09-13]. https://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/fuse.
[14] ROCHE I, BESAGNI D, FRANÇOIS C, et al. Identification and characterisation of technological topics in the field of Molecular Biology[J]. Scientometrics, 2010, 82(3):663-676.
[15] MONCADA-PATERNÒ-CASTELLO P, ROJO J, BELLIDO F, et al. Early identification and marketing of innovative technologies:a case study of RTD result valorisation at the European Commission's Joint Research Centre[J]. Technovation, 2003, 23(8):655-667.
[16] TSENG F M, CHENG A C, PENG Y N. Assessing market penetration combining scenario analysis, Delphi, and the technological substitution model:the case of the OLED TV market[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2009, 76(7):897-909.
[17] 谈毅, 黄燕丽. 基于过程的新兴技术规划与选择模型研究[J]. 科技管理研究, 2007, 27(8):5-8.
[18] 魏国平. 新兴技术管理策略研究[D]. 杭州:浙江大学, 2006.
[19] KLEINBERG J. Bursty and hierarchical structure in streams[J]. Data mining and knowledge discovery, 2003, 7(4):373-397.
[20] MANE K K, BÖRNER K. Mapping topics and topic bursts in PNAS[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2004, 101(S1):5287-5290.
[21] CHEN C. CiteSpace II:Detecting and visualizing emerging trends and transient patterns in scientific literature[J]. Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 2006, 57(3):359-377.
[22] BÖRNER K, HUANG W, LINNEMEIER M, et al. Rete-netzwerk-red:analyzing and visualizing scholarly networks using the Network Workbench Tool[J]. Scientometrics, 2010, 83(3):863-876.
[23] BENGISU M. Critical and emerging technologies in materials, manufacturing, and industrial engineering:a study for priority setting[J]. Scientometrics, 2003, 58(3):473-487.
[24] SCHIEBEL E, HÖRLESBERGER M, ROCHE I, et al. An advanced diffusion model to identify emergent research issues:the case of optoelectronic devices[J]. Scientometrics, 2010, 83(3):765-781.
[25] DAIM T U, RUEDA G, MARTIN H, et al. Forecasting emerging technologies:Use of bibliometrics and patent analysis[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2006, 73(8):981-1012.
[26] KAJIKAWA Y, YOSHIKAWA J, TAKEDA Y, et al. Tracking emerging technologies in energy research:toward a roadmap for sustainable energy[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2008, 75(6):771-782.
[27] SMALL H, BOYACK K W, KLAVANS R. Identifying emerging topics in science and technology[J]. Research policy, 2014, 43(8):1450-1467.
[28] HOPCROFT J, KHAN O, KULIS B, et al. Tracking evolving communities in large linked networks[J]. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2004, 101(S1):5249-5253.
[29] ÉRDI P, MAKOVI K, SOMOGYVÁRI Z, et al. Prediction of emerging technologies based on analysis of the US patent citation network[J]. Scientometrics, 2013, 95(1):225-242.
[30] ZHANG S, HAN F. Identifying emerging topics in a technological domain[J]. Journal of intelligent & fuzzy systems, 2016, 31(4):2147-2157.
[31] 李蓓, 陈向东. 基于专利引用耦合聚类的纳米领域新兴技术识别[J]. 情报杂志, 2015(5):35-40.
[32] KIM J, HWANG M, JEONG D H, et al. Technology trends analysis and forecasting application based on decision tree and statistical feature analysis[J]. Expert systems with applications, 2012, 39(16):12618-12625.
[33] CHOI S, YOON J, KIM K, et al. SAO network analysis of patents for technology trends identification:a case study of polymer electrolyte membrane technology in proton exchange membrane fuel cells[J]. Scientometrics, 2011, 88(3):863-883.
[34] YOON J, KIM K. Detecting signals of new technological opportunities using semantic patent analysis and outlier detection[J]. Scientometrics, 2012, 90(2):445-461.
[35] 李欣, 王静静, 杨梓, 等. 基于SAO结构语义分析的新兴技术识别研究[J]. 情报杂志, 2016, 35(3):80-84.
[36] XIAO Z, LU H, ALAN P, et al. Tracing the system transformations and innovation pathways of an emerging technology:solid lipid nanoparticles[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2018, 146(2):785-794.
[37] 任智军, 乔晓东, 张江涛. 新兴技术发现模型研究[J]. 现代图书情报技术, 2016, 32(7):60-69.
[38] 周源, 刘宇飞, 薛澜. 一种基于机器学习的新兴技术识别方法:以机器人技术为例[J]. 情报学报, 2018, 37(9):83-99.
[39] 董放, 刘宇飞, 周源. 基于LDA-SVM论文摘要多分类新兴技术预测[J]. 情报杂志, 2017(7):44-49,137.
[40] FILIPPOVICH K I, DENISOVICH B P, STANISLAVOVNA L A. Big-data-augmented approach to emerging technologies identification:case of agriculture and food sector[J]. Social science research network, 2017(1):130-134.
[41] YU P, LEE J H. A hybrid approach using two-level SOM and combined AHP rating and AHP/DEA-AR method for selecting optimal promising emerging technology[J]. Expert systems with applications, 2013, 40(1):300-314.
[42] 王凌燕, 方曙, 季培培. 利用专利文献识别新兴技术主题的技术框架研究[J]. 图书情报工作, 2011, 55(18):74-23.
[43] FURUKAWA T, MORI K, ARINO K, et al. Identifying the evolutionary process of emerging technologies:a chronological network analysis of World Wide Web conference sessions[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2015, 91:280-294.
[44] ZHANG Y, PORTER A L, HU Z, et al. "Term clumping" for technical intelligence:a case study on dye-sensitized solar cells[J]. Technological forecasting and social change, 2014, 85(2):26-39.
[45] PATIL L H, ATIQUE M. A novel approach for feature selection method TF-IDF in document clustering[C]//Advance Computing Conference (IACC), 2013 IEEE 3rd International. Ghaziabad:IEEE, 2013:858-862.
[46] 黄承慧, 印鉴, 侯昉. 一种结合词项语义信息和TF-IDF方法的文本相似度量方法[J]. 计算机学报, 2011, 34(5):856-864.
[47] YAN E. Research dynamics:measuring the continuity and popularity of research topics[J]. Journal of Informetrics, 2014, 8(1):98-110.
[48] WANG Q. A bibliometric model for identifying emerging research topics[J]. Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology, 2017, 69(2):290-304.
[49] GHO H, WEINGART S, BORNER K. Mixed-indicators model for identifying emerging research areas[J]. Scientometrics, 2011, 89(1):421-435.
[50] CHRISTOPHER E, SILBERGLITT R. Identification and analysis of technology emergence using patent classification[EB/OL].[2019-09-01]. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR629.html.
[51] 郭瑞兰. 情景规划在新兴技术战略制定中的应用[D]. 成都:电子科技大学, 2007.
[52] NOH H, SONG Y, LEE S. Identifying emerging core technologies for the future:case study of patents published by leading telecommunication organizations[J]. Telecommunications policy, 2016, 40(10/11):956-970.
[53] 张伟, 陈绍刚. 新兴技术采用的生命周期各阶段技术风险研究[J]. 科技管理研究, 2007, 27(5):161-163.
[54] 黄鲁成. 基于属性综合评价系统的新兴技术识别研究[J]. 科研管理, 2009,30(4):190-194.
[55] European Research Council. ERACEP-emerging research areas and their coverage by ERC-supported projects final report[EB/OL].[2019-09-13]. https://erc.europa.eu/sites/default/files/document/file/Eracep_final_report.pdf.