INFORMATION RESEARCH

Early Identification Method for Disruptive Technologies and Its Application in the Field of Hydrogen Energy*

  • Zhao Yiming ,
  • Sun Yuntao ,
  • Sun Xiaolei
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  • 1 Center for Studies of Information Resources, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072;
    2 School of Information Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072;
    3 Big Data Institute, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072;
    4 National Demonstration Center for Experimental Library and Information Science Education, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072;
    5 Institutes of Science and Development, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190

Received date: 2023-11-01

  Revised date: 2024-01-24

  Online published: 2024-09-12

Supported by

This work is supported by the Major Program of Key University-Based National Research Institute of Humanities and Social Sciences of the Ministry of Education “Research on the Identification Methods and Innovation Mechanisms of Disruptive Technologies for National Self-Reliance in Science and Technology” (Grant No. 22JJD870004), the General Programs of the National Natural Science Foundation of China “Investigating the Awareness of Users’ Learning State and Intelligent Response from the Perspective of Search as Learning” (Grant No. 72274146), and “Identifying and Evaluating Search Trails in the Exploratory Search Process” (Grant No. 71874130).

Abstract

[Purpose/Significance] As the core driving force of industrial revolution, disruptive technologies can rapidly overturn the development trajectory of existing technologies. Identifying the application of disruptive technologies to the field of hydrogen energy is of great significance for improving the country’s hydrogen energy technology strength and promoting the development of clean energy. [Method/Process] Based on multi-source heterogeneous data, the paper constructed an early identification model of disruptive technologies from four dimensions: novelty, foresight, feasibility, and high attention. The study calculated the indicator weights and comprehensive evaluation scores of technologies by Entropy-TOPSIS method and adopted an empirical study in the field of hydrogen energy. [Result/Conclusion] The study indicates that solar decomposition water hydrogen production technology, hydrogen adsorption storage technology, and proton exchange membrane fuel cells are the most disruptive technologies in the field of hydrogen energy.

Cite this article

Zhao Yiming , Sun Yuntao , Sun Xiaolei . Early Identification Method for Disruptive Technologies and Its Application in the Field of Hydrogen Energy*[J]. Library and Information Service, 2024 , 68(17) : 95 -108 . DOI: 10.13266/j.issn.0252-3116.2024.17.008

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